Carlos Alcaraz vs Ben Shelton Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• On second serve points, Shelton currently has an edge, winning 51.04% compared to Alcaraz's 42.51% over the last six months. Could this advantage influence the match outcome?
• Shelton's recent return stats show an ability to win 41.37% of points on opponents' second serves, while Alcaraz performs slightly better at 43.86%. However, Alcaraz shows greater skill in first serve returns, securing 28.83% compared to Shelton's 23.77%.
• When handling breakpoints, both players are almost equal; Shelton saves 53.51% while Alcaraz narrowly leads with 53.78%.
• Alcaraz has a superior annual match-winning percentage at 83.54%, significantly higher than Shelton's 60.61%.
• Shelton performs best on indoor hard courts, winning 77% of his matches, but struggles on grass. Alcaraz excels on grass, boasting an 89% win rate, but his performance dips on indoor hard surfaces.
• Alcaraz's recent opponents hold higher average rankings (51.65) than Shelton's (71.74), indicating stronger competition.
• Direct encounters favor Alcaraz, who has won both head-to-head matches between them, including all four sets played.
• Should this match extend to a deciding set, Alcaraz has historically shown a stronger closing capability, winning 72% compared to Shelton's 57% in such scenarios.
• Each player has converted breakpoints with similar efficacy, Shelton at 29.91% and Alcaraz closely at 30.39%.

Editorial Prediction (May 31, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match presents an intriguing contest between Shelton and Alcaraz, with each showing distinct strengths. Shelton's advantage on second serve points could be pivotal, especially if the match is played on a slower surface.

Nevertheless, Alcaraz's consistent return game, coupled with his strong historical performance and greater resilience in critical points, gives him a potential edge. His superior win-loss record and experience against higher-ranked opponents further bolster his standing.

Considering past performances and current form, Carlos Alcaraz appears to be the likely winner in this matchup.